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May 8, 2012

Moving To The Opposite Side

Filed under: foreign currency — Forex @ 21:05  Tagged

At times, when the inexperienced traders notice that a signal indicator moves in the opposite direction of the price action, they think that they’ve erred in their choice of tools. They think that there’s something wrong. But the truth is that they’re witnessing a “divergence.” Therefore, if you see that a currency’s price goes up while the indicator declines, you’re seeing a divergence. In this case, it heralds the decline of the currency’s value, so it’s called a bearish divergence. On the other hand, if the currency’s value declines and the indicator goes up, the divergence is bullish.
So what’s the point of spotting divergences develop within the market? Divergences offer ways to make more money. This type of occurrences allow traders to forecast the direction in which the currency will go. And to do so, experts proclaim that technical analysts can use any number of indicators to spot divergences. They may implement Relative Strength Index, the MACD or perhaps Stochastic Oscillators. These three happen to be the most favored of all tools since they’re considered accurate. They’re also leading indicators since they offer signs on when to buy or sell a currency. As an added bonus, they offer ways by which to identify price patterns and recognize resistance and support levels, whether the currency is trending upwards or downwards.
Note that there are two types of divergences: standard and hidden. Both can be hawkish or dovish and can be of help to improve your Forex timing.

April 24, 2012

Technical Analysis Elements

Filed under: foreign currency — Forex @ 20:05  Tagged , ,

One of the first things you hear about when learning about the Forex market is the need for analysis. If you’re looking to study technical review of charts, it’s important to understand what it’s all about.
For starters, technical analysis is the study of what happens in the market through the use of charts. Its purpose is to help you predict currency prices. The cornerstone of this type of analysis is premised on the idea that all price action is a reflection of the balance between supply and demand; and this is brought on by market participants’ reactions to economic events, political issues or changes in psychology.
Note that in Forex pair trading the study of market activity is directly related to human psychology. For the past centuries, chart patterns have reflected the reactions of investors and/or traders. And assuming that psychology remains unchanged, it’s commonly believed that the cycles and patterns observed in the past are viable instruments for assessing future market conditions.
Another important element of technical analysis includes trends. When working at amassing wealth with the Forex, most traders try to follow the currency trends. One of the purposes of charting a currency’s price action is to gauge the direction of the trend, and follow it until it reveals that it’s going to reverse, in order to begin profiting from reversal patterns.
In the currency market, there are many types of charts and patterns that traders can utilize in order to perfect their strategy.

April 10, 2012

Scalping Volatile Pairs

Filed under: foreign currency — Forex @ 19:05  Tagged ,

When it comes to taking chances, Forex scalpers say their trading style is perhaps the safest; they believe this is so since they’re in the market but a few minutes. However, Forex scalpers don’t hesitate in opening positions using the most volatile of the currency pairs. They know that currencies depicting high volatility and liquidity can offer substantial earnings.
So let’s assume you wish to trade the GBP/JPY. Expert scalpers suggest analyzing the 1 and 5 minute charts and maybe studying bar charts. Scalpers are among those who trade FX and favor Bollinger Bands. With a volatile pair such as the Pound/Yen, the pros think it’s an indicator that can point them in the direction of profit. They usually consider a short trade if the price of the currency crosses over the upper band and moves half way towards the second band. At that point, it’s possible to see the prices retrace to the middle of the bands allowing traders to grab pips as the currency retraces.
To go long, the expert scalpers using Bollinger bands advice waiting for prices to range between the bands and trade while the prices retrace towards the middle.
After measuring risk, the expert traders close their positions with 5 to 10 pips in gains. To set the stop loss, they look at the time they predict the currency will take to establish an overall trend. Trading quick movers isn’t the only way to scalp for pips. But it’s very lucrative.

March 27, 2012

Banking On Inflation-Fighting Tactics

Filed under: foreign currency — Forex @ 18:05  Tagged ,

Any country that experiences economic growth is subject to inflation. Unfortunately, it’s the consumer who suffers through the increase of prices in goods. And in an effort to fight inflation, the central banks have developed a number of strategies which they implement as monetary policy. To the Forex trader, these policies are of extreme importance as they offer clues on the future of currency prices.

Often, the central banks opt for increasing interest rates to fight high levels of inflation. They do so because it’s the easiest strategy and often works faster than other tactics. Once the rates go up, the cost of the currency appreciates. While it may not be good for someone going on vacation for instance, it’s an opportunity to earn from an online Forex investment.

Another important point to consider as a Forex trader is that global investors hunt for opportunities to gain from high interest rate assets. So when the central banks raise the costs of borrowing money, the demand for the currency goes up and so does its value. Understanding these principles of macroeconomics is what helps currency traders increase their profits.

Knowing that the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise interest rates may change a trader’s view of the Aussie Dollar and perhaps help him gage how the currency will fare in the upcoming hours or days. Learning about economic fundamentals is a sure way to excel and control risk and reward in Forex futures, options or in the Spot market.

 

March 13, 2012

The 50-Year Cycles

Filed under: foreign currency — Forex @ 17:05  Tagged , ,

Forex traders often make use of established economic theories to gage bullish and bearish stages in the market. Among those theories is the Kondratieff Wave which is based on the idea that the economies of the western hemisphere are influenced by volatility as they expand or contract. These waves are different from business cycles because they’re said to last much longer, sometimes between 50 and 60 years. Perhaps one of the biggest contributions of Nickolai Kondratieff to the financial markets was not the observation that the markets move in cycles; but that the cycles repeat.

Trading in Forex market assets, whether it be futures, options or even the Spot Forex currencies requires that an individual understand the different conditions that develop as a result of key factors. As one becomes a fervent observer of the markets, one can begin to understand how the patterns develop and the frequency with which they form. In the U.S. for example, a simple study of wholesale prices will show us that there have been periods of accumulation proceeded by periods of over-consumption. As prices go up, consumption must also rise in order to maintain a certain standard of living.

For the trader, observations about historic Forex swings become clear after they see how they’ve affected the currencies. It’s important to note that the four components of the Kondratieff Wave are what determine the action of market participants. Awareness of the distinct sub-cycles within a cycle allows individuals to anticipate the mood in the market.

 

 

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